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Gold Bear Market Deepens as Rate Hike Odds Surge

Most commodity markets operate on a single dominant clock. Supply tightens, prices rise. Demand weakens, prices fall. Gold, by contrast, runs on at least two clocks simultaneously, and they are currently telling very di…

Crude Oil Threatens Breakout Amid US-Iran Re-Escalation

The United States and Israel launched a major military campaign against Iran on Feb. 28, triggering a weekslong war that has spread to neighboring countries and roiled energy markets around the globe.

The Next Commodity Shock May Begin in the Pacific

Forecasts point to a strong El Niño event at the end of 2026, raising fears over food supplies and prices. While we believe these fears are overstated at the global level, El Niño poses a more significant regional risk …

Silver Pullbacks Stay Constructive While $67.35 Support Holds

Silver (XAG/USD) trades on the front foot on Friday but lacks strong follow-through and remains within the narrow range seen this week. At the time of writing, XAG/USD trades around $65 after bouncing from an intraday l…

Gold prices flat ahead of Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech

Asian markets traded cautiously on Thursday, with much of the region's price action muted as traders adopted a wait and see approach ahead of Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole speech, even though the symp…

What India’s Gold Discount Is Really Telling Us

In late June, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) released the Financial Stability Report (FSR). According to the report, as of September 2025, India’s household debt stood at 45.5% of its gross domestic product (GDP). In J…

Oil’s War Premium Unwinds Faster Than Gulf Supply Can Recover

Oil markets have a well-documented habit of moving before the facts fully arrive. Futures curves shift on the weight of expectation, not confirmed delivery. Supply premiums unwind when traders begin to believe scarcity …