This past weekend, Adam Taggart and I discussed what happens to Treasury bond yields when the United States enters a military conflict. The conventional wisdom is reflexive and tidy. A conflict triggers a flight to safe…
Imagine someone looking into their crystal ball and telling you at the beginning of October that the coming September CPI data would be higher than expected, and producer prices (PPI) would rise 1.3% for the month, well…
In a day of mixed signals, UK gilt yields edged higher as the latest inflation data reinforced expectations of a sustained rate hike cycle. The 10‑year yield moved to 4.12% from 4.05% in the morning, reflecting market p…
The RBA deputy governor has identified inflation as the "one big problem" still facing Australia's economy.
Millions of Americans will move forward with home purchases this year, despite mortgage rates that won’t budge from their perch above 6% and home prices that continue to break records. Some of these buyers are banking o…
The Consumer Price Index hit 3.7% in September – the latest sign that inflation remains a problem that isn't going away.
More than 16 years after the eurozone debt crisis erupted, France's fiscal woes are reviving uncomfortable memories
The size and persistence of inflation post-COVID-19 was among the largest problems the U.S. economy has faced in decades. The rise in house prices was a major contributor to this inflationary episode. Understanding this…
With the 10-year Treasury yield at its highest level since 2002, buying bonds at 5% is the first real alternative that stock investors have had in nearly two decades.
Most investors are still focused on the stock market, especially technology and AI stocks. But over the past few days, the more interesting move has been happening in bonds. U.S. Treasury yields have moved sharply highe…
The Relationship Every Gold Trader Should Understand Why Falling Real Yields Continue to Be One of Gold's Most Powerful Bullish Catalysts "Gold does not compete with stocks. Gold does not compete with bonds. Gold compet…
📘 Why Manual Forex Trading Is Officially Dead — And AI Will Bury It in 2026 ________________________________________ 1. 🚨 Executive Summary Manual FX trading is not merely declining—it is entering its terminal phase. As…
Rising US long-term interest rates have become the defining issue in global financial markets. But why have they climbed so fast? Yields have now surpassed the expected return on stocks for the first time in 20 months —…
(Kitco News) – Gold prices saw another choppy week, as renewed Middle East uncertainty and bargain-hunting failed to offset pressure from elevated Treasury yields, a resilient U.S. dollar, and fresh evidence that the Fe…
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There is an FX sting in the tail as well. If Japanese investors are trimming exposure to European debt, EUR/JPY starts to matter as more than a conventional rate-spread trade. It becomes a possible capital-flow tell, wh…
It is a privilege to be here in Tallinn to deliver this lecture in memory of Professor Ragnar Nurkse. Widely regarded as one of the intellectual fathers of the post-war Bretton Woods system, his work showed how external…
Three themes have been shaping portfolios through the summer: politics; bond yields; and (inevitably) AI.
Precious metals investors are watching market conditions closely as gold and silver hover at pivotal price points. While both metals have already posted impressive gains, multiple converging factors suggest we may be wi…
TOKYO - Tokyo stocks fell on October 2, with the Nikkei 225 closing at 68,309, down 647 points, as investors took profits after the previous day’s sharp rally and turned cautious ahead of U.S. employment data, rising gl…
SEOUL – A surge in long-term US Treasury yields is driving up borrowing costs in Korea, lifting government bond yields and adding pressure on companies, households and stocks.
It appears that investors are concerned that the economy could be overheating, potentially leading to a faster tightening of monetary policy by the Federal Reserve. Last week, S&P Global released its latest flash purcha…
On August 19, 2026, the U.S. Treasury announced that it would at least double the size of its liquidity-support buyback operations in the 10-to-20-year and 20-to-30-year maturity sectors.
Major bond markets are under pressure thanks to massive AI debt sales, fiscal woes, and inflation concerns.
