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Indonesia Rupiah: Fiscal discipline supports stability – UOB

UOB economist Enrico Tanuwidjaja reviews Indonesia’s 2027 State Budget, highlighting a calibrated balance between growth and fiscal discipline that matters for the Rupiah and local bonds. The budget assumes a Rupiah exc…

USD/JPY Recovery Shows Intervention Cannot Close the Rate Gap

Yen is under broad-based pressure again, barely 10 days after joint US-Japan intervention forced traders to retreat. That does not mean intervention has failed. It means intervention solved only one part of the problem.…

USD/CHF Price Forecast: Flag support rebound keeps bulls alive

The USD/CHF pair recovers some ground on Tuesday after testing the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of 0.7866 along with the bottom trendline of the ‘bearish flag’, which so far contained price action amid the lack of…

New Zealand Dollar: Market overpricing RBNZ hikes – BNY

BNY’s Geoff Yu highlights that foreign holdings of New Zealand government bonds rose to 58.9% in July 2026, while NZD/USD trades slightly above its 12‑month average. Despite robust domestic activity, Yu doubts current m…

European gas: LNG inflows key for prices – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Norman Liebke argues that European gas storage will depend on higher LNG imports over winter, as current inflows of 8 bcm per month would see storages trend toward 0% by March. He considers 10 bcm realisti…

Brent: War-linked range trading outlook – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes Brent crude has rallied above $91 as the US–Iran Strait of Hormuz standoff persists. Haddad argues crude Oil is driving the war narrative and expects price swings to st…

FX Outlook: Energy and Long Bonds Remain Points of Attention

At its meeting on 19 March 2026, the Governing Council decided to keep the three key ECB interest rates unchanged. It is determined to ensure that inflation stabilises at the 2% target in the medium term. The war in the…

Sterling today: Pound slips as dollar firms on energy, yields

The British Pound weakened against the US Dollar in Asian trading on Wednesday, with GBP/USD easing toward 1.3355. The pair lost momentum as the Dollar gained ground amid renewed geopolitical uncertainty following US mi…

The Japanese Yen is losing to its own import bill

USD/JPY sat near 159.50 through Monday inside a 75-pip range for a net gain of 10 pips, on the day the Dollar Index broke beneath its 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to its weakest level since June. Every other…

British Pound Sterling did not earn its three-month high

GBP/USD cleared 1.3550 on Monday for the first time in three months, printed the highest level of the window just above it and handed the entire advance back within hours for a net gain under 10 pips. Sterling did none …

US Treasury yields surge as 30-year hits 2007 high

US Treasury yields advance on Monday during the North American session after reversing their course following the release of US Retail Sales data last week, which disappointed investors. Meanwhile, the lack of news from…