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FX

US Dollar: NFP and inflation mix complicate Fed path – BNY

BNY strategists John Velis and David Tam highlight the July Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report and upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) releases as key inputs for the Fed. They see consensus around 80,000 jobs, with a breakev…

Japanese Yen: Managed JPY signals new order – Rabobank

Rabobank’s Senior Market Strategist Benjamin Picton highlights coordinated action between the US Treasury and Japan’s Ministry of Finance (MoF) to defend the Japanese Yen (JPY), framing it as a potential “financial Fort…

US Dollar Can Recover Some Ground – If Data Allows

The EUR/USD pair fell towards 1.1417, its lowest since last March, as the US Dollar (USD) soared following the first Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy meeting chaired by Kevin Warsh. EUR/USD got to recover some grou…

Gold declines to near $4,050 on US–Iran talks uncertainty

Gold price (XAU/USD) declines to near $4,050 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The precious metal eased slightly from the recent rally after the US paused planned airstrikes against Iran. Traders will closely m…

Forex Today: Oil collapses on Iran talks, Yen holds gains

Oil prices fell sharply on Monday amid growing expectations that talks between the US and Iran will resume soon. US President Donald Trump stated that conversations are underway after Tehran said it had no plans for dir…

Trump: This is a last chance for Iran

United States (US) President Donald Trump said on Monday that Washington is currently holding talks with Iran, adding that the discussions are taking place at Tehran's request and describing them as a final opportunity …

Latin America: Duration favored over carry – BNY

Geoff Yu at BNY sees Brazil and Mexico operating in a more comfortable policy environment after the Fed decision, with anchored United States (US) front-end yields supporting emerging-market duration. Yu argues that Lat…

Singapore Dollar: Upside bias capped against US Dollar – UOB

United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang notes USD/SGD slipped to 1.2809 but closed near 1.2821, with intraday bias still pointing lower. However, he highlights 1.2790 as significant support that may hold unless mome…

Gold slips as USD rebounds, strong ISM data clouds Fed path

Gold (XAU/USD) price retreats on Monday as the US Dollar (USD) recovers some ground, even though hostilities in the Middle East paused at the request of Iran and other Middle Eastern countries, according to US President…

Taiwan: Growth stays strong as normalization begins – DBS

DBS Group Research economist Ma Tieying notes Taiwan’s 2Q GDP growth slowed to 12.9% year-on-year from 14.5% in 1Q, but remained solid on a quarterly basis. The report highlights narrowing divergence between exports and…

Washington Joins the Fight for the Yen

US and Japanese authorities have confirmed that they have jointly intervened in FX markets to support the yen. Joint intervention is rare and points to new FX activism from the US Treasury. Yet a successful turn lower i…