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FX

US Dollar: Fed communication key for path – OCBC

OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong highlight that markets have repriced the risk of a July Fed hike higher after Oil-driven inflation worries, but still expect no move. A hawkish hold would keep the US Dollar (US…

Federal Reserve: Extended pause but hike risk rising – UOB

UOB strategists expect the Federal Reserve (Fed) to keep the Fed Funds Target Rate at 3.50%–3.75% at the July Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting and maintain a base case of an extended pause through 2026, with…

Brent: Market weighs de-escalation signals – ING

ING analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey note that Brent has retreated sharply, briefly dropping below US$90/bbl as the US and Iran paused further strikes. They stress that disruptions in Russia and the Red Sea con…

US Dollar: Fed hold and data support – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad expects a hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) hold and a goldilocks-like United States (US) macro backdrop to keep the US Dollar (USD) supported in coming days. Haddad highlights f…

British Pound: BoE seen on hold as risks linger – UOB

UOB strategists note GBP/USD edged up to 1.3326, with Gilts caught between fiscal risks from Prime Minister Burnham’s debut plans and the Oil price shock. A Bloomberg poll and UOB economist Lee Sue Ann both expect the B…