Crude Oil finished Thursday at its lowest level in 18 weeks, which means the vast risk premium that built up around this year's conflict has fully bled away, back to pre-war levels. The interesting part is not the round…
The Australian Dollar (AUD) trades on the front foot against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday as a weaker-than-expected US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report pushed back expectations of an imminent Federal Reserve (Fed) inter…
The Euro (EUR) gains against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday after weaker-than-expected US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data reduced expectations of an imminent Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike.
BNY’s Geoff Yu notes that clients have largely capitulated on Japanese Yen (JPY) and South Korean Won (KRW) longs as these currencies stay weak versus US Dollar (USD) and Chinese Yuan (CNY). He argues that fundamentals …
Rabobank strategist Michael Every highlights how Fed Chair Warsh and other major central bankers at Sintra are signalling a structural shift away from traditional forward guidance towards data-driven “framework guidance…
Societe Generale’s Dev Ashish argues that the US decision to opt for annual USMCA reviews instead of a 16-year extension prolongs policy uncertainty for Mexico while leaving near-term trade flows intact. He sees muted M…
A June jobs report that undershot expectations by nearly half sent the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) to a fresh intraday record on Thursday, which reads like a contradiction until you look at what actually moved. …
NZD/USD rises 0.59% on Thursday to trade around 0.5705 at the time of writing, supported by a sharp decline in the US Dollar (USD) following the release of a significantly weaker-than-expected US employment report.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) trades under pressure on Thursday as weaker-than-expected US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data dent expectations of a near-term Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike.
Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) in the United States (US) rose by 57K in June, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported on Thursday. This print followed the 129K increase (revised from 172K) recorded in May and fell shor…
The Pound Sterling (GBP) registers solid gains against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday after the latest US employment report missed estimates, reducing the chances of a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike. At the time of wr…
Gold (XAU/USD) trades on the front foot on Thursday as the US Dollar (USD) weakens amid rumors of a potential intervention by Tokyo after the Japanese Yen (JPY) hit a 40-year low earlier this week. The Greenback extende…
The AUD/USD pair climbed near the 0.6930 area on Thursday as the US Dollar (USD) came under pressure following softer-than-expected United States (US) labor market data. The pair advanced as investors trimmed expectatio…
ING strategists Benjamin Schroeder and Michiel Tukker discuss how a potential increase in the Minimum Reserve Requirement (MRR) by the ECB could tighten Eurozone liquidity and reduce ECB losses. They highlight uneven di…
Geoff Yu reports that the RBNZ will keep its Monetary Policy Committee at six members ahead of the November election, after a split 3-3 vote in May where external members backed a hike. New Zealand building consents sho…
USD/CHF weakens sharply on Thursday as the US Dollar (USD) comes under broad selling pressure following a weaker-than-expected US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report. At the time of writing, the pair is trading around 0.8029,…
ING’s Carsten Brzeski analyses a new German government reform package focused on cutting red tape, increasing labour market flexibility, and capping healthcare and pension costs to restore competitiveness. He notes that…
USD/CAD falls to 1.4180 on Thursday, down 0.26% on the day after dropping to 1.4150, its lowest level in more than a week, following a much weaker-than-expected US employment report.
Commerzbank’s Bernd Weidensteiner notes that weaker US employment data for June and downward revisions to prior months reduce pressure on the Federal Reserve to hike rates at the late-July meeting. With Oil prices sharp…
DBS Group Research economist Radhika Rao notes that Indonesia’s onshore FX and bond markets have stabilised following a correction in global Oil prices, though gains are modest. She highlights USD/IDR’s move below 18000…
Bank of England (BoE) policymaker Catherine Mann said on Thursday that an “activist move” may be needed if inflation expectations and outcomes move unfavorably, according to a speech text released by the BoE ahead of an…
USD/JPY falls 0.92% on Thursday and trades around 161.05 at the time of writing after a much weaker-than-expected US employment report weighs on the US Dollar (USD).
Commerzbank’s Dr. Ralph Solveen reviews Germany’s new reform package agreed by CDU/CSU and SPD, focusing on bureaucracy reduction, labor market changes, and modest tax adjustments. He highlights that the largest potenti…
According to a report from the US Department of Labour (DOL) released on Thursday, the number of US citizens submitting new applications for unemployment insurance shrank to 215K for the week ending June 27. The latest …
